Featured image of post 2024 Japanese GP: FP3 long runs

2024 Japanese GP: FP3 long runs

These are like the charts that I created for the pre-season testing in 2024, but done for the FP2 session. The dashed line and the ribbon are based on predictions created from a statistical model. As you can see, these predictions are designed to ignore the lap anomalies and instead present a smooth line. This is not a perfect model and I really built it in a few minutes, but I think it gets the job done for the most part. In some cases the line will be a bit too wiggly, which is mostly caused by a driver having too many anomalous laps in his run.

For this particular plot, a race pace simulation stint was considered as long a driver had a stint of 5 or more laps and I decided to show laps with a maximum time of 1:40.000.

Red Bull

Max Verstappen Sergio Perez


Lewis Hamilton George Russell


Charles Leclerc Carlos Sainz


Lando Norris Oscar Piastri

Aston Martin

Fernando Alonso Lance Stroll


Esteban Ocon Pierre Gasly


Alex Albon


Valtteri Bottas Zhou Guanyu

RB F1 Team

Daniel Ricciardo


Nico Hulkenberg Kevin Magnussen

comments powered by Disqus
This website is unofficial and is not associated in any way with the Formula 1 companies. F1, FORMULA ONE, FORMULA 1, FIA FORMULA ONE WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP, GRAND PRIX and related marks are trade marks of Formula One Licensing B.V.
Built with Hugo
Theme Stack designed by Jimmy